MANIFOLD
2026 ATP Tour Men's Tennis Matches ๐ŸŽพ
81
แน€26kแน€200k
in an hour
51%
Miami tk (will NA)
86%
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ A. Rublev (17) vs ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ G. Diallo [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 2]
71%
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ K. Khachanov (16) vs ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท J. Fonseca [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 2]
94%
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ C. Alcaraz (1) vs ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ G. Dimitrov [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 2]
34%
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท J. M. Cerundolo vs ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท A. Rinderknech (26) [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 2]
60%
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡จ V. Vacherot (24) vs ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น N. Borges [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 2]
79%
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ A. Bublik (10) vs ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ V. Kopriva [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 2]
33%
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ R. Hijikata vs ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น L. Darderi (20) [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 2]
62%
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง C. Norrie (27) vs ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ M. McDonald [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 2]
31%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ S. Korda vs ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A. de Minaur (6) [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 2]
91%
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ N. Djokovic (3) vs ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ K. Majchrzak [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 2]
99%
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท F. Cerundolo (19) vs ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท B. Bonzi [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 2]
77%
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ D. Medvedev (11) vs ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฑ A. Tabilo [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 2]
35%
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท S. Baez vs ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ J. Lehecka (22) [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 2]
53%
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท U. Humbert (32) vs ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ A. Michelsen [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 2]
17%
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง J. Fearnley vs ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ T. Fritz (7) [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 2]
31%
๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ M. Fucsovics vs ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท A. Fils (30) [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 3]
49%
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น F. Cobolli (15) vs ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ F. Tiafoe (21) [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 3]
25%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ B. Nakashima (28) vs ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช A. Zverev (4) [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 3]
55%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ B. Shelton (8) vs ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ L. Tien (25) [Indian Wells ATP 500 โ€“ Round 3]

Predict the outcome of men's tennis match play at events throughout the 2026 ATP season.

Each match that begins will resolve YES if the FIRST player listed advances to the next round, either by win or walkover. The match will resolve NO if the SECOND player listed advances (again either by win or walkover). A match will resolve N/A if it does not take place (that is, if a player withdraws before the match begins).


Example:

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ C. Alcaraz (1) v. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น L. Nardi [Doha ATP 500 - Round 2]

Will resolve YES if Alcaraz, seeded first, advances by win or walkover. Will resolve NO if Nardi advances instead.


Won't always have these descriptions, but if they occur, here's what they mean:

(1) โ€” Seeded first (and so on)

(Q) โ€” Qualifier

(LL) โ€” Lucky Loser (lost in qualifying, but made the main draw by another player's withdrawal)

(WC) โ€” Wild Card (gained main draw entry at the discretion of the tournament director)


Will try to leave some limit orders up prior to the match start time for the day, but then will typically close betting until the matches are completed.

Market context
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bought แน€834 YES

@traders oh, and if you want to trade directly on the winner of indian wells, i've got a market for that here: https://manifold.markets/polymathematic/who-will-win-the-2026-bnp-paribas-o

opened a แน€266 NO at 41% order

@traders Indian Wells is here! The entire field is back in action. Round 1 matches up now with some limit orders.

@traders Dallas 250 matches up now. still working to catch up on rotterdam. also have an individual market on the winner of Dallas. be sure to check it out!

opened a แน€100 NO at 85% order

@traders wow! the old man did it. into a grand slam final for the first time since Wimbledon 2024, and the first time in Australia since 2023. does he have one more win in him? limit orders up!

@polymathematic also, heartbreak to Zverev for what would have been the comeback and win of his life. I raged-quit the stream after his second set collapse, but glad to see that he fought back

bought แน€25 YES

@benmanns i think you're right on djokovic sinner, but i've gotta hedge a huge sinner position on other markets :)

bought แน€50 YES

@traders and then there were four! it's fitting that in an australian open so chalky, we're left (courtesy of some awfully bad luck on musetti's part) with the top four seeds in the semis. limit orders up through tomorrow night.

@traders the round of 16 is upon us! Limit orders up, matches begin tonight.

@polymathematic Easy Money

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