MANIFOLD
When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight?
31
Ṁ1kṀ9.1k
2027
1.5%
Before July 1, 2026
13%
Before Jan 1, 2027
85%
2027 or later

As of March 19 2024, Rocket Lab is publicly targeting a launch in 2024.

As of May 2024, Rocket Lab is now targeting 2025.

Answers will resolve as YES if Neutron lifts off and clears the pad before the respective dates given. A successful remainder of the flight is not necessary. The flight does not need to be on an orbital trajectory.

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bought Ṁ120 NO

They are now targeting Q4 2026, which means it won't launch in 2026 (Berger's Law)

RocketLab did announce last night that they will be targeting earliest Q1 2026 for a neutron launch. Is this enough to resolve Jan 1st 2026?

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