
Which company will create AGI first?
73
Ṁ1.9kṀ4.4k2036
39%
DeepMind
14%
OpenAI
11%
Anthropic
10%
xAI
10%
US Government
5%
Communist Party of China
5%
people not employed by a company
2%
1.3%
Safe Superintelligence (SSI)
1.2%
DeepSeek
If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A
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@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P
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Will we get AGI before 2029?
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Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?
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A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
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Will China get AGI first?
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When will the first AGI company get nationalized?
Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?
When will AGI be developed and released to the public?


