MANIFOLD
How many F1 races will be rescheduled, moved, or cancelled this season?
12
Ṁ150Ṁ369
Dec 13
10%
0
23%
1
55%
2
6%
3-4
4%
5-8
2%
9+

Sakhir and Jeddah are close to hostilities in Iran, and near-term. Baku, Lusail, and Abu Dhabi are also in the region. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Formula_One_World_Championship#Calendar

Anything that results in a race not being held on the originally scheduled calendar day, at the originally scheduled track, counts for this market; it doesn't have to be related to wars.

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This market is a good proxy for how much the global conflicts can interfere with 'normal stuff'. I like it.

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