When will Iran-US conflict end?
9
Ṁ175Ṁ2482027
August 15, 2026
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
13%
2026 Q1
35%
2026 Q2
22%
2026 Q3-Q4
13%
2027 Q1-Q2
10%
2027 Q3-Q4
7%
2028+
The conflict will be considered ended when most news media report it as being over. No formal peace treaty or ceasefire is required.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
USA x Iran ceasefire by end of march 31?
24% chance
For how long will this fighting with Iran carry on?
65
US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?
19% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran when Trump leaves office?
21% chance
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by…?
Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
20% chance
When will the conflict between the US Iran come to a pause or end?
4/30/26
Will Iran succumb to U.S. demands?
33% chance
When will the Iranian protests end?
7/17/26