Iranian Regime survives Trump Administration?
18
Ṁ100Ṁ6222029
55%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves to YES if the current Iranian regime remains in power throughout Donald Trump's presidency and is still in power when Trump leaves office.
It resolves to NO if the regime collapses, is overthrown, or fundamentally transforms into a different system of government during Trump's term.
Happy to clarify edge cases.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
37% chance
Will USA change Iran regime
45% chance
Will the regime of Iran fall by the end of March 2026?
8% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran when Trump leaves office?
20% chance
Will the Iranian regime fall by end of June?
34% chance
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
38% chance
Will a new regime be installed in Iran before April 1st?
10% chance
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
25% chance
Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027?
51% chance
Will Trump abandon the Iran war?
62% chance