
In 2033, will Richard Hanania believe that the predictions they made about deepfakes came true?
12
Ṁ1kṀ1412034
64%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://richardhanania.substack.com/p/deepfakes-will-make-the-establishment
Some time in 2033, I'll ask Richard whether they think this worked out about the way they expected it to. I may resolve to a percentage in between if Richard gives such an answer.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?
28% chance
Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?
81% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
6% chance
Images assumed to be deepfakes/AI-generated unless proven otherwise before 2030
51% chance
Will Cameo offer a deepfake/ai generated video product before 2030?
80% chance
Fully indistinguishable fast human deepfakes before 2030?
68% chance
Will AI video become indistinguishable from reality by 2030?
82% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance
By the end of 2027 will a deepfake of a famous person be reported as real by mainstream news organizations
73% chance
Will a deepfake cause a real diplomatic crisis between two countries by the end of 2027?
52% chance